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Economy and Taxes (52)
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Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - One reason for this is that the CFC data has a 7  percent nonresponse rate and the propensity for nonresponse is not random across projects, which suggests that the true gender and ethnicity representation is different than what is reported by those who do respond.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - The number of low-wage workers who are Latino is roughly two and a half times the number who are white, four and a half times the number who are Asian/Pacific Islander, and 18 times the number who are Black.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/1

How High? Adjusting California’s Cannabis Taxes

Dec 17, 2019 - Miller, Keaton and Boyoung Seo (2019). “Tax Revenues When Substances Substitute: Marijuana, Alcohol, and Tobacco. ” Mimeo, University of Oregon. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (2017).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4125

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

Evaluating State Economic Stimulus Proposals

Feb 1, 2021 - In other words, opportunity costs are the answer to the question: What other state programs would have been funded if the stimulus program had not been created and what would have been the benefits of those other programs?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4331

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - This likely further exacerbates the already existing negative employment effects of a payroll taxes and means the state ’s current tax system could be unnecessarily deterring hiring of lower wage workers.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Film tax credits generally have a negative overall effect on state revenues. Evidence from academic research and state evaluations in places such as Georgia and New York find that every $1 of credit allocated returns significantly less than $1 in state revenue.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 Budget: Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development

Mar 18, 2025 - Since these agreements were finalized in 2022 and 2023, and grant milestones are spread out among the five subsequent years, it is still unknown at this point what fraction will ultimately be claimed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5018

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - What steps has the administration taken to improve recruitment and retention of tobacco enforcement personnel? What additional steps could be taken? What will happen if CDTFA cannot expand its tobacco enforcement workforce despite its growing responsibilities?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966