California Economy and Taxes
 
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Thumbnail for The 2022-23 Budget: May Revenue Outlook

The 2022-23 Budget: May Revenue Outlook May 16, 2022

We discuss our May revenue outlook. 

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2021-22 “Big Three” Revenue Outlook Update: March 2022 March 28, 2022

Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently project that there is a very good chance that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes will exceed the Governor's Budget assumption of $185 billion in 2021-22 by at least several billion dollars. 

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2021-22 “Big Three” Revenue Outlook Update: February 2022 February 17, 2022

Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently project that there is a very good chance that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes will exceed the Governor's Budget assumption of $185 billion in 2021-22 by at least several billion dollars. 

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2021-22 “Big Three” Revenue Outlook Update: January 2022 January 21, 2022

Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently project that there is a strong chance that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes will exceed the Governor's Budget assumption of $185 billion in 2021-22. 

Thumbnail for Income Tax Withholding Tracker: November 1 - November 30

Income Tax Withholding Tracker: November 1 - November 30 November 30, 2021

California income tax withholding collections in November were up nearly a third over last November.

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2022-23 Fiscal Outlook Revenue Estimates November 17, 2021

We discuss the revenue estimates in our recently released Fiscal Outlook. 

Thumbnail for Income Tax Withholding Tracker: October 1 - October 31

Income Tax Withholding Tracker: October 1 - October 31 November 3, 2021

California income tax withholding in October was up 8.2 percent over October 2020, a slower growth rate than in the three previous months.

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2021-22 “Big Three” Revenue Outlook Update: October 2021 October 22, 2021

Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently project that there is a good chance that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes will exceed the budget act assumption of $170 billion in 2021-22 by at least several billion dollars. 

Thumbnail for Income Tax Withholding Tracker: September 1 - September 24

Income Tax Withholding Tracker: September 1 - September 24 September 24, 2021

The California income tax withholding surge continues, as September collections to date are 23.5 percent above last September.

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August 2021 State Tax Collections September 20, 2021

Through the first two months of the 2021-22 fiscal year, collections from the state’s three largest taxes are running 20 percent ($3.6 billion) ahead of budget projections. 

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2021-22 “Big Three” Revenue Outlook Update: September 2021 September 20, 2021

Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently project that there is a strong chance that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes will exceed the budget act assumption of $170 billion in 2021-22. 

Thumbnail for A New Method For Current Year Revenue Forecasting

A New Method For Current Year Revenue Forecasting September 20, 2021

We discuss our new model which provides a monthly update of our forecast of current year collections from the state’s “big three” taxes. 

Thumbnail for Income Tax Withholding Tracker: August 1 - August 27

Income Tax Withholding Tracker: August 1 - August 27 September 7, 2021

California income tax withholding remained very strong in August, coming in nearly 20 percent above August 2020.

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How Long Do Firms Take from Founding to IPO? August 18, 2021

It's most common for a larger firm to go public 8 to 10 years from its founding date.

Thumbnail for Income Tax Withholding Tracker: July 1 - July 23

Income Tax Withholding Tracker: July 1 - July 23 July 23, 2021

Income tax withholding from July 1 to July 23 was 17.8 percent above the same dates in 2020.