Recently released figures from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) show that California continues to lose taxpayers to other states. The state has long had annual net outmigration (more people moving out of California to other states than moving in) but the trend has increased since 2020. Looking ahead, should the heightened trend of net outmigration continue, it could drag down annual income tax revenue growth below its long-term average.
California personal income rose 9.3 percent in the first quarter, mostly reflecting federal stimulus payments.
California personal income stayed flat in the third quarter as transfer payments fell, although wages and salaries were up over 2019.
California personal income surged in the 2nd quarter due to transfer payments, but other income categories dropped sharply.
This post discusses wage growth for 21 broad occupation groups from 2016 to 2017.
This post discusses wage growth for 22 broad occupation groups from 2013 to 2017.
We discuss new data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis regarding state personal income.
We discuss our new economic outlook, released as part of our response to the Governor's 2017 May Revision.
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis has released state personal income through the first quarter of 2016.
We discuss our May Revision estimates of wages and salaries in California, as well as the administration's.
We discuss a particular formula used in the state budget related to personal income growth. The administration's January estimate of this formula for the 2016-17 state budget is likely too low.
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released estimates of state personal income through the third quarter of 2015 on December 21, 2015.
We discuss the distinctions between our personal income and personal income tax projections.
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has released state personal income data through the second quarter of 2015.
The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis has published its estimates of state personal income through the fourth quarter of 2014.