California Economy and Taxes
 



Newest Early Jobs Revision Shows No Net Job Growth During 2023 June 17, 2024

A newly released "early benchmark" of the official state jobs figures shows that payroll jobs declined by 32,000 from September 2023 through December 2023, whereas the official state tally showed growth of 117,000 jobs over that period. With the fourth quarter early revision, calendar year 2023 shows essentially no net job gains. 


Monthly Jobs Report May 21, 2024

Preliminary reports suggest the state added 43,000 jobs in May. We interpret these figures with caution because recent reports have overstated the strength of the state's labor market in a few ways. First, recent reports have routinely overestimated job growth. Over the past 15 months, the preliminary report has been revised down by an average of 30,000 jobs each month. Secondly, the state's private-sector job market has fared notably worse than the topline monthly figures suggest, which have been bouyed by continued hiring in the public sector and publicly supported sectors. Beginning this month, we will report a hybrid real-time measure of the labor market (an average of the two main jobs surveys) that has more closely tracked actual job growth over the past year. 


Annual Revision Shows State Added Few Jobs Last Year March 13, 2024

Each year, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revises the state's jobs number to match actual payroll records from businesses. The latest revision lowered its count of California jobs by 1.5 percent. The corrected data show that the state added just 50,000 jobs between September 2022 and September 2023, while preliminary monthly reports had showed the labor market growing by more than 300,000 jobs. 


Updated Unemployment Insurance Fund Forecast Shows Structural Deficit January 16, 2024

The administration's most recent Unemployment Insurance (UI) Trust Fund forecast shows that UI benefit payments will exceed state payroll tax receipts by $1.7 billion in 2024, after surpassing receipts by $1.3 billion in 2023. As a result, the state's outstanding UI loan from the federal government is set to increase over the next two years, despite automatic employer payroll tax increases to repay the loan. 


Holiday Hiring Sluggish January 3, 2024

October and November holiday season retail job growth remained relatively weak for the second year in a row. One plausible explanation for this weakness might be the continued transition to online holiday shopping, but transportation and warehousing jobs (where goods and packaged and delivered) has also been sluggish this holiday season.


July 2022 Jobs Report August 22, 2022

California added 84,800 jobs in July, about twice the level of recent months. Job gains for June were revised upward as well, from 19k to 37k.


June 2022 Jobs Report July 25, 2022

California businesses added 19,900 jobs in June, about half as much as recent months and the slowest gain since last September.


May 2022 Jobs Report June 20, 2022

California businesses added 42,900 net jobs in May (seasonally adjusted), about the same as April and another month of slower job growth than seen in the past year.


April 2022 Jobs Report May 20, 2022

California employers added 41,400 net jobs in April (seasonally adjusted), the smallest net gain in the past six months. 


March 2022 Jobs Report May 11, 2022

California employers added 60,200 jobs net jobs March (seasonally-adjusted), a 4.2 percent increase on an annual basis. 


December 2021 Jobs Report January 24, 2022

California employers added 50,700 net jobs in December, representing annualized growth of 3.6 percent. 


October 2021 Jobs Report November 19, 2021

California employers added 96,800 net jobs in October, the highest monthly figure since July.


September 2021 Jobs Report October 22, 2021

California employers added an estimated net 47,400 jobs in September, the smallest monthly gain since January.


August 2021 Jobs Report September 17, 2021

California employers added 104,300 net new jobs in August, a strong showing despite the national slowdown.


July 2021 Jobs Report August 20, 2021

California employers created an estimated 114,400 net jobs in July, the biggest gain since February.