The California income tax withholding surge continues, as September collections to date are 23.5 percent above last September.
Through the first two months of the 2021-22 fiscal year, collections from the state’s three largest taxes are running 20 percent ($3.6 billion) ahead of budget projections.
Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently project that there is a strong chance that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes will exceed the budget act assumption of $170 billion in 2021-22.
We discuss our new model which provides a monthly update of our forecast of current year collections from the state’s “big three” taxes.
California income tax withholding remained very strong in August, coming in nearly 20 percent above August 2020.
August 2021 auction generates over $1.1 billion in state revenue.
Preliminary tally of 2020-21 cannabis tax revenue: $817 million.
Income tax withholding from July 1 to July 23 was 17.8 percent above the same dates in 2020.
California income tax withholding continues to surge, as June collections to date are nearly 25 percent above last June.
The state's surprisingly strong growth in income tax withholding has been led by high-tech sectors, but many other sectors are showing big gains as well.
The administration currently estimates that retail excise tax revenue was $132 million and cultivation tax revenue was $31 million in the third quarter of fiscal year 2020-21 (January through March).
California income tax withholding in May was 29.4 percent above last May, when serious pandemic restrictions were in effect.
Preliminary results from the most recent quarterly cap-and-trade auction held on May 19, 2021 show the state receiving an estimated $916 million in revenue.
March collections from the state’s three largest taxes—the personal income tax, corporation tax, and sales tax—exceeded projections by $2.5 billion (30 percent).
California income tax withholding collections to date in April are up 30.3 percent over April 2020, and collections to date in fiscal year 2020-21 are up 11.9 percent over 2019-20.