Income tax withholding this week kept pace with the same week in 2019, and collections since late March are 3.5 percent above 2019.
We discuss the economic assumptions underlying the main forecat in our 2021-22 Fiscal Outlook.
We discuss the main revenue forecast in our 2021-21 Fiscal Outlook.
U.S. retail sales grew modestly in October. Total sales January-October 2020 were just 0.1% below January-October 2019.
Income tax withholding again ran ahead of last year's pace, and is up 3.6 percent from last year since late March.
October revenue collections from the state’s three largest taxes were ahead of budget projections by $2.8 billion (40 percent).
Credit/debit card data suggest CA taxable sales continued to grow in October but still remained slightly below January.
Withholding this week was up 6 percent from the same week last year, pushing the cumulative gain since late March to 3.5 percent.
Creation of new businesses in California remained very strong in October.
California records nearly 10,000 housing permits in September, the highest monthly total to date this year.
California home prices are on the rise despite the pandemic.
Income tax withholding kept pace with the same week in 2019, and collections since March are up 3.4 percent from 2019.
California personal income surged in the 2nd quarter due to transfer payments, but other income categories dropped sharply.
We examine whether economic effects of COVID-19 can be observed in weekly withholding data.