We discuss preliminary November 2018 state tax collections.
An update of our index which tracks the strength of economic conditions relevant to the state’s fiscal health.
A brief look at housing permit data for October 2018.
We look at data from the 2018 primary and general elections to see if recent federal tax changes had a noticable effect on voters willingness to approve property tax increases to fund school facilities.
A brief look at unemployment claims data for October 2018.
We discuss cannabis tax revenue updates for 2017-18 and the first quarter of 2018-19.
We show the key economic assumptions underlying our new Fiscal Outlook for California.
We discuss our near-term and out-year revenue estimates in our new Fiscal Outlook for California.
Our new Fiscal Outlook projects that school property taxes will be higher than assumed in the 2018-19 Budget Act.
We discuss the home price forecast included in our Fiscal Outlook and briefly explain our forecasting methodology.
We discuss the building permit forecast included in our Fiscal Outlook and briefly explain our forecasting methodology.
We discuss our method for estimating wages and salaries.
We discuss our method for estimating capital gains revenue.