- All Articles Revenue Tracking
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update: February 2024 February 27, 2024
Our new forecast for 2023-24 cannabis retail excise tax revenue is $675 million, very close to the January Governor’s Budget forecast of $660 million.
Recent Revenues Coming in Below Governor's Budget Projections January 22, 2024
In the first few weeks of January, real-time personal income tax (PIT) revenue collections are running $3 billion to $4 billion short of the January target for current year revenue projections included in the 2024-25 Governor's Budget.
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update: November 2023 November 30, 2023
Our new forecast for 2023-24 cannabis retail excise tax revenue: $702 million. This is $206 million above the budget package assumption.
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update August 30, 2023
The 2023-24 budget package anticipated a funding shortfall for programs supported by cannabis tax revenues. Our new revenue estimates are higher, yielding a smaller funding shortfall.
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update: May 2023 May 23, 2023
The May Revision anticipates a funding shortfall for programs supported by cannabis tax revenues. Our new revenue estimates are slightly higher, yielding a slightly smaller funding shortfall. Specifically, our estimate for 2022-23 cannabis retail excise tax revenue is $509 million. This is $24 million above the administration’s May Revision estimate but $133 million below the January Governor’s Budget estimate.
Updated 2022-23 "Big Three" Revenue Outlook March 15, 2023
Based on the most recent revenue and economic data, we currently estimate that collections from the state’s “big three” taxes—personal income, sales, and corporation taxes—are likely to fall below the Governor's Budget assumption of $200 billion in 2022-23.
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update February 22, 2023
Revenue from the cannabis retail excise tax has declined for six straight quarters.
November 2022 Cap-and-Trade Auction Update December 14, 2022
Based on the preliminary results, the state will receive an estimated $961 million in revenue from the most recent quarterly cap-and-trade auction held on November 16, 2022.
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update November 18, 2022
Cannabis tax revenues have declined for five straight quarters. One part of last quarter’s revenue decline is the lost revenue from the recently eliminated cultivation tax. Despite this policy change, revenues from the retail excise tax declined faster than ever before, indicating that other factors continue to drive down revenues.
October Tax Collections November 17, 2022
Although October colletions from the state's “big three” tax revenues—personal income, corporation, and sales taxes—came in far ahead of Budget Act assumptions, this is not indicative of better than expected revenue performance for 2022-23 overall. Instead, a closer look at the data shows that the recent trend of revenue weakness continued in October.
Income Tax Witholding Tracker: August 2022 September 1, 2022
August state income tax withholding was down $450 million (6.1 percent) compared to last year.
Cannabis Tax Revenue Update August 22, 2022
Cannabis tax revenues have declined substantially for three straight quarters.
Income Tax Witholding Tracker: July 2022 August 5, 2022
California income tax withholding collections were $90 million (1 percent) lower in July compared to last year.
Income Tax Withholding Tracker: June 2022 July 11, 2022
California income tax collections were down 2 percent in June relative to last year.